Conf = NESCAC
Nickname = CT Cardinals Coach = John RabaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.8590698 home-field advantage = -0.68 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 A Colby NESCAC ( 6- 8, 92.1) 20-11 306 H Salve Regina CCC ( 4-10, 87.4) 30- 8 310 N Roanoke ODAC (14- 5, 94.0) 23-16 312 A Stockton CLC (11- 8, 90.8) 23-10 316 A Williams NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.4) 13-10 320 H Stevens MAC-Freedom (17- 2, 95.9) 10-16 323 H Bates NESCAC ( 3-11, 90.3) 22-11 330 H Middlebury NESCAC (10- 8, 97.2) 8-15 402 H Amherst NESCAC (10- 6, 96.8) 12-11 406 A Tufts NESCAC (13- 3, 99.4) 16-14 410 A Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 7, 93.6) 9-10 413 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 7, 94.8) 17- 7 417 H Springfield NEWMAC ( 7-10, 91.4) 21- 8 420 H Bowdoin NESCAC (11- 5, 97.7) 16-12 424 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 91.0) 19-13 427 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 7, 93.6) 18-10 504 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 7, 94.8) 12- 6 505 H Middlebury NESCAC (10- 8, 97.2) 9- 7 512 H St John Fisher Empire 8 (12- 7, 93.0)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Colby 20-11 9 5 1.94 306 H Salve Regina 30- 8 22 11 0.00 310 N Roanoke 23-16 7 3 + 3.12 312 A Stockton 23-10 13 6 0.60 316 A Williams 13-10 3 1 1.20 320 H Stevens 10-16 -6 2 --- -8.69 323 H Bates 22-11 11 8 0.00 330 H Middlebury 8-15 -7 1 --- -8.33 402 H Amherst 12-11 1 1 -0.70 406 A Tufts 16-14 2 -2 ++ 4.25 410 A Trinity 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.62 413 A Hamilton 17- 7 10 2 ++ 4.63 417 H Springfield 21- 8 13 7 0.00 420 H Bowdoin 16-12 4 0 + 3.19 424 H Connecticut College 19-13 6 7 -1.00 427 H Trinity 18-10 8 4 + 2.03 504 H Hamilton 12- 6 6 3 + 2.28 505 H Middlebury 9- 7 2 1 0.67UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 H Stevens 10-16 -6 2 --- -8.69 330 H Middlebury 8-15 -7 1 --- -8.33 410 A Trinity 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.62OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Tufts 16-14 2 -2 ++ 4.25 413 A Hamilton 17- 7 10 2 ++ 4.63 310 N Roanoke 23-16 7 3 + 3.12 420 H Bowdoin 16-12 4 0 + 3.19 427 H Trinity 18-10 8 4 + 2.03 504 H Hamilton 12- 6 6 3 + 2.28
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.87 Power Rank................. 6 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 86.03 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 10 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6673 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 38 RPI Rating............... .6485 RPI Rank................... 11 Champ. Probability ...... 5.5 Championship Rank ......... 7 Selection sum ........... 66 Selection Rank ............ 16 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 105. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 5 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 25. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 17 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 16.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.3